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Archive for the ‘Constitutions’ Category

Protect the nuclear deterrent, reduce entitlement costs

Posted by zbigniewmazurak on January 8, 2013


As Washington ponders what to do about America’s large annual budget deficit ($1.2 trillion per year), the Left has taken aim at America’s nuclear deterrent – the most important asset the US military has, one which protects America and its 30+ allies against the most catastrophic threats – and demands cut in it while refusing to agree to any cuts in entitlements and discretionary social programs. Last month, 44 stridently liberal House Democrats, led by Ed Markey and Barney Frank, demanded exactly such policy in a letter to Congressional leadership.

But they’re dead wrong, and the policy they advocate is destructive, subversive, treasonous, and unconstitutional.

Here’s why. Here are seven good reasons why the nuclear deterrent should NOT be cut and why entitlement costs should be reformed (i.e. significantly reduced):

1) Protecting America is not only an enumerated power but the highest Constitutional DUTY of the federal government, as articulated in the Preamble, in Art. I Sec. 8, and in Art. IV Sec. 4. The majority of enumerated powers delegated to the Congress and listed in Art. I Sec. 8 relate to  military affairs. The military is the ONLY significant expenditure authorized by the Constitution.

By contrast, entitlement programs (and discretionary social programs) are unconstitutional. They are outside the scope of the powers vested in the federal government by the Constitution.

No person who takes his/her oath to the Constitution seriously could advocate deep cuts in funding for America’s defense, especially not for the kind of defense against the most catastrophic threats, while simoultaneously refusing to agree to any cuts in unconstitutional entitlement programs.

2) The nuclear deterrent costs very little: $32 bn per year according to the Stimson Center. This includes all nuclear warheads, all of their delivery systems, and all of their supporting facilities. Over the next decade or so, the US will need to modernize its nuclear deterrent; the Stimson Center estimates that with these modernization costs accounted for, the total cost will rise to only $39.2 bn per year, or $392 bn over the next decade.

How much is $39.2 bn? Just 6.1% of the total military budget ($633 bn authorized for FY2013), and just 1% out of a $3.699 trillion annual federal budget. Just one percent. Just one cent on the dollar.

Individual nuclear weapon systems cost even less. The ICBM  leg of the nuclear triad costs only $1.1 bn per year to maintain; the bomber leg, $2.5 bn.

By contrast, the Big Three entitlement programs alone constitute 62-63% of the ENTIRE federal budgets, and their costs grow on autopilot every year. Social Security alone costs well over $700 bn every year. See the Heritage Foundation graphs below.

ALC_042_3col_c

70percentoffederalspendingissocialspending

3) Given entitlements’ huge costs, and the nuclear deterrent’s tiny cost, it is clear that it is ENTITLEMENTS, not nuclear weapons, that should be cut, or at least looked to for savings. By contrast, the US could give up its entire nuclear deterrent unilaterally tomorrow, and this would cut the federal budget by a paltry 1% – not even a dent in the annual budget deficit ($1.2 trillion) or total annual federal spending. Cutting or even eliminating the nuclear deterrent would do NOTHING do solve the deficit problem. Reforming entitlements and thus reducing their costs (e.g. by means-testing SS and Medicare, increasing the eligibility age, and giving people the freedom to leave the SS system and open private retirement accounts instead) would go a long way to reduce budget deficits and public debt.

4) If entitlements are not reformed soon, they will, within a few decades, swallow the entire federal budget, leaving the US with no money for defense or anything else. Furthermore, if they are not reformed soon, they will bury America under a mountain of debt, as they collectively have liabilities of $100 trillion. Again, even eliminating the nuclear deterrent unilaterally would do NOTHING to stop this tsunami of entitlement spending and entitlement-driven debt.

defense-spending-entitlement-spending-problem-600

5) Making further deep cuts in the nuclear deterrent, while Russia retains its huge arsenal and China has a large one (far larger than what disarmament advocates and government bureaucrats claim), would invite a Russian (if not Chinese) nuclear first strike on the US, as the US nuclear arsenal would, after further deep cuts, be far too small to be survivable or to credibly threaten most of Russia’s and China’s military assets.

6) Entitlements and other social programs make people permanently dependent on the government (in this case, the federal government) and thus teach dependence instead of self-reliance, which used to be a defining American trait. Today, instead of people providing for their and their families’ needs, virtually everyone wants to rely on a government program (i.e. on tax money confiscated from someone else) instead.

7) Entitlements and other social programs, by encouraging dependence on the federal government and by resulting in a mass confiscation of wealth from producers and transfer of that wealth to those who didn’t earn it, are immoral. In the Bible, God upholds the sanctity of private property: He says that we are prohibited not only to steal, but even to covet it.

In short, the Left’s claims are blatant lies, and their policy proposals are downright destructive. Were their cretinous policies to be implemented (God forbid), the US would be gutting its own nuclear deterrent (thus opening itself  and over 30 allies to a Russian or Chinese nuclear blackmail or even attack) while completely failing to make any meaningful reduction in federal spending, budget deficits, or debt. Such policies are totally unnacceptable and must be rejected completely. No ifs, no buts.

Posted in Constitutions, Defense spending, Economic affairs, Ideologies, Military issues, Nuclear deterrence, World affairs | Leave a Comment »

What a constitutional federal budget would look like

Posted by zbigniewmazurak on January 3, 2013


As you may know, Dear Readers, the US Constitution authorizes only a very limited federal government: limited in what it is allowed to do, including the range of issues it is allowed to handle and spend money on.

Domestically, the federal government is authorized only to protect copyrights and patents, prosecute those who counterfeit US currency and securities (as well as traitors and spies), govern the District of Columbia and federal territories, prevent the emergence of barriers to interstate commerce such as interstate tolls, handle mail delivery, protect civil rights, coin money and regulate its value, and fix the standard of weights and measures.

On the foreign front, the federal government is responsible for providing for the common defense, managing foreign affairs and regulating commerce with foreign countries and Indian tribes.

The limited, enumerated powers of the federal government are listed and explained in more detail here, here, and here.

That being the case, I’ve decided to produce this blueprint of a federal budget based solely on what is authorized by the Constitution.

Methodology

The articles by expert lawyer Publius Huldah (dealing with the powers of the legislative, executive, and judicial branch of the federal government) were used to determine what programs and agencies are constitutional and which ones are not (see herehere, and here).

Unconstitutional programs would, of course, have to be abolished if the Constitution were to be strictly enforced – either immediately (e.g. the Departments of Education and Energy) or gradually phased out while honoring the promises made to current seniors.

Constitutional programs and agencies would be retained. What funding should they receive is a separate matter beyond the scope of this article; it was assumed for the purposes of this article that they would  (at least initially) be retained at their FY2012 funding levels. In the future, of course, Congress may increase or decrease their budgets as it sees it and as national needs dictate.

For purposes of this study only, the President’s FY2012 Budget Proposal, as depicted by graphic artist Jess Bachmann in his FY2012 budget poster, was used to obtain the numbers proposed by the President for various programs. If newer budget figures for some agencies are available, they are given.

On this basis, it was assumed that constitutional federal programs and agencies would be funded at the levels requested by the President for FY2012, while unconstitutional federal programs and agencies would be abolished or gradually phased out.

The results

This study has found that  the majority of current federal programs and agencies are unconstitutional; that is, the federal government has grown far beyond the limits authorized by the Constitution.

Constitutional agencies and programs

Art. I, Sec. 8 of the Constitution authorizes the Congress to spend money only on a limited range of programs, agencies, and objects.

Those agencies and programs which are constitutionally lawful include:

1) The Department of Defense. Defense is the #1 Constitutional duty of the federal government; and the Constitution authorizes an Army and a Navy. The DOD’s budget request for FY2012 was $667 bn, but it was never approved and a Consolidated Appropriations Act was passed and signed instead. For FY2013, the Congress has just passed a $633 bn Authorization Bill, while the Defense Appropriations Bill awaits Senate consideration. For FY2013, we will assume, in line with the FY2013 National Defense Authorization Act, that the defense budget is $633 bn. Sequestration, however, will cut that amount significantly.

2) The DOE’s National Security programs, including nuclear weapons and facilities, defense environmental cleanup, and naval nuclear reactors. $19.979 bn. (The rest of the DOE is unconstitutional, however.)

3) The Department of the Treasury (which has existed since the Washington Administration): $14.043 bn.

4) The Department of Justice: $20.910 bn minus the DEA ($2.002 bn) and the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms, and Explosives ($1.147 bn), as federal laws related to drugs, alcohol, tobacco, firearms, and explosives are unconstitutional. Total:  $17.761 bn.

5) The Department of Homeland Security ($43.436 bn) minus those of its programs which violate civil liberties protected by the Constitution and the TSA ($5.114 bn).

6) The Department of Veterans’ Affairs: $58.775 bn.

7) The Department of State ($50.921 bn) minus foreign aid, the Millenium Challenge Corporation, the Peace Corps, and International Narcotics Control, leaving $31.662 bn. This includes Foreign Military Financing for allies such as Israel, as well as International Peacekeeping and US contributions to international organizations of which the US is a member (whether these expenditures should continue as a matter of usefulness is a separate issue).

8) The National Archives and Records Administration: $407 mn.

9) The District of Columbia: $458 mn.

10) The US Postal Service: $5.947 bn. (While the USPS is constitutional, it should be privatized.)

11) The International Trade Administration: $517 mn.

12) The Department of the Interior: $12.057. Its tasks include, inter alia, protecting national forests and managing federal lands, although arguably federal lands in western states should be transferred to these states or to seniors in exchange for them renouncing their claims to SS and Medicare benefits.

13) The US Census Office (authorized by the Constitution to conduct a census every 10 years): $1.025 bn.

14) The US Patent Office.

15) The National Institute of Standards and Technology to enforce uniform standards of weights and measures: $1.004 bn.

16) The Office of Governmental Ethics: $14 mn.

17) The Executive Office of the President: $469 mn.

18) The Legislative Branch: $5.032 bn.

19) The Judicial Brach: $6.853 bn.

20) The Army Corps of Engineers: $4.574 bn.

21) A Civil Rights Commission to oversee the observation of civil rights.

22) A Federal Election Commission to conduct elections to the US House of Representatives and, unless and until the 17th Amendment is repealed, to the Senate.

23) Every four years, there may be additional expenses for the inauguration of a new presidential term.

24) The Securities and Exchange Commission: $1.408 bn.

While these are 23 different agencies and programs, they collectively add up to only $853.307 bn. This means that only $853.307 bn out of the federal budget is constitutional. Or, if we use solely Jess Bachmann’s numbers, borrowed from the President’s FY2012 budget proposal, for the DOD, only $891.307 bn per year out of all federal spending is constitutional.

This is only 24.057% of the total proposed FY2012 budget ($3.699 trillion). That means that over 75% of the federal budget for FY2012 was unconstitutional. More than three quarters!

In other words, out of every dollar that Washington spends, only 25 cents are spent on constitutional agencies and programs, and 75 cents are not.

Unconstitutional programs

This means that all other federal programs and agencies are unconstitutional.

This includes Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid, which collectively cost $1.498 trillion in FY2012 (all of these programs are already in the red, i.e. the payroll taxes levied to pay for them are already insufficient to cover their costs). The Constitution does not authorize such (or any other) entitlement programs. (However, they cannot be abolished outright and would have to be phased out gradually over a few decades because many seniors are dependent on them.)

The Departments of Education, Energy (except defense-related programs, which should be moved to the DOD), Agriculture, Transportation, Housing and Urban Development, Labor, Health and Human Services, and Commerce (except a few DOC agencies) are completely unconstitutional as well, as are all other federal agencies, including the myriad small, unconstitutional agencies such as the “National Labor Relations Board” and the “Equal Employment Opportunity Commission”.

Conclusions

A constitutional federal budget – i.e. one for a federal government limited to its constitutional powers and duties (defense, foreign affairs, international trade, maintaining standards of weights and measures, protecting civil rights, organizing the census, enforcing bankruptcy laws, prosecuting traitors and spies, and delivering mail)  - would be a budget just one fourth the size of the current federal budget.

However, because a vast majority of Americans opposes any entitlement reform, and because both Republicans and Democrats support immoral, unconstitutional, and unaffordable “social safety nets” and other unconstitutional programs (such as the Departments of Education and Agriculture), the federal budget is as large as it is today, and America is drowning in debt, with all the financial and economic consequences stemming from that.

Posted in Constitutions, Economic affairs | 5 Comments »

Rebuke of the “Business Leaders for Sensible Priorities”

Posted by zbigniewmazurak on November 15, 2012


One of the many leftist groups active in the US today calling for deep cuts to the defense budget and for the gutting of the US military is a group calling itself “Business Leaders for Sensible Priorities”. It’s not actually a group businessmen, but rather a project of the extremely leftist, George Soros funded “Center for American Progress”, and it includes well known anti-defense hacks such as Franklin C. “Chuck” Spinney, who has been proven to have been lying numerous times. BSLP calls for deep (15%) cuts in defense spending and for the money currently spent on defense to be redirected towards (federal spending on) education, healthcare, “alternative energy”, foreign aid, and deficit reduction.

This proposal is downright destructive (not to mention unconstitutional), and I will show you why.

But first, it must be pointed out that the US already spends more than enough on education, healthcare, and failed “alternative energy” projects, and far more than any other country in the world.

Regarding education, America already spends more money on it – in absolute terms and per student – than any other country in the world by far, yet, there are no results to show for this huge spending. American schools and students consistently rank among the worst in the OECD. In the latest available (2009) PISA rankings, they ranked 17th in reading, 31st in maths, and 23rd in science.

This is in part because the federal and state governments spend so much on education without asking schools, students, or teachers and their unions for anything in return. This is also in large part due to federal meddling with education, which must be completely ended if American schools are to improve substantially. This means abolishing the unconstitutional federal Education Department and federal education spending (or returning it back to the states without strings attached).

Regarding healthcare, again, the US spends far more on it than any other country in the world by far – well over $2 trillion every year. Half of it is government spending (federal, state, and local), and half of it is in the private sector. It amounts to 17% of America’s GDP and is headed towards 20% of GDP. $2 trillion per year is spent on treating cancer, cardiovascular diseases, diabetes, and Alzheimer’s diseases alone (the four most common diseases and causes of death in the US.) The federal Department of Health and Human Services alone has an annual budget of $900 bn, making it by far the largest department of the federal government. State, local, and private expenditures increase the annual healthcare cost to well over $2 trillion. Yet, apparently, this is not enough for these BLSP/CAP Soros-funded liberals.

And as knowledgeable people from both sides of the aisle – Republicans as well as Democrats like Sam Nunn – recognize – America’s healthcare spending, both governmental and private – is too high and unsustainable and constitutes a drag on the economy. Accordingly, it needs to be reduced. (Ordinary Americans could reduce healthcare costs by $1 trillion per year by adopting healthy lifestyles.)

“Alternative energy sources” and projects have proven themselves to be totally useless and uneconomical. As decades of Western experimentations with these green boondoggles have proven, they are not, and will never be, even close to economical. They require huge capital and ongoing subsidies, without which they would die. In a free market, they could never compete. (And it is NOT the proper role of any government – federal, state, or local – to pick winners and losers in a market.)

Foreign aid has been a total waste of money. The US has tried, and continues to try, curry favor with various regimes that either turn against the US or waste the money on their leaders’ lavish lifestyles.

Furthermore, foreign aid and federal spending on education, healthcare, and “alternative energy sources” are unconstitutional, because the Constitution does NOT authorize the Congress to spend money on any of these things. The Constitution limits the objects on which the Congress can spend money to those listed here.

Under the Constitution, education, healthcare, and “alternative energy sources” are just a few of the myriad of issues reserved to the states and the people.

And the federal government is supposed to operate according to the Constitution, not the wishes of a few extremely leftist “businessmen” and anti-defense hacks.

Last but certainly not least, cuts of the depth demanded by BLSP – cuts as deep as 15% – would gut the US military, thus jeopardizing national security. The DOD’s FY2012 base budget was $531 bn, and cutting it by 15% would mean cutting it by $79.65 bn, i.e. down to just $451.35 bn – not even nearly enough to fund even the military’s basic functions, such as nuclear deterrence. This is because a strong military – let alone the strongest military on Earth – cannot be maintained on the cheap. It requires substantial, continuing funding. It cannot be done with a paltry annual budget like $451.35 bn. It would not be enough.

Maintaining a strong military requires substantial funding for missions such as:

  • Providing air superiority to control the airspace over America itself (and Canada), which requires a large number of advanced 5th generation aircraft to defeat incoming enemy aircraft (including bombers and their escort fighters);
  • Providing a large ground army to protect America’s land borders, or at least, the long border with Mexico, where a full-scale war with drug cartels is already ongoing (don’t take my word for it – visit Arizona);
  • Patrolling America’s long coasts: the two vast ocean costs and the Gulf Coast (where the Russians sometimes sent Akula class subs), and protecting the undersea resources and fishing areas in US territorial waters;
  • Providing a large, modern, survivable nuclear deterrent (which requires a large, survivable, modern nuclear triad and a large nuclear stockpile);
  • Providing a multi-layered missile defense system to protect the homeland;
  • Providing the human, space-, air-, sea-, and ground-based intelligence capabilities to collect all pertinent intel data about America’s enemies and making informed decisions about national security issues;
  • Providing the administrative support required;
  • Providing the healthcare, retirement, housing, and family support programs for the military’s members;
  • Providing a military judicial system; and
  • Other national security requirements.

And that’s just for the purpose of defending America itself (to say nothing of protecting America’s allies). Each of these missions requires substantial funding for the US military to be able to carry it out successfully and thus defeat America’s enemies.

The fact is that a strong military cannot be maintained on the cheap. Substantial, continued funding is required to provide the troops, training, fuel, ammunition, spare parts, maintenance, base infrastructure, and equipment needed to keep the US military strong and to provide for America’s security.

While there is some waste in the budget of the DOD (and every other government agency), there isn’t enough waste in it to cut it as deeply as sequestration would require. (Note: crucial weapon programs such as the Next Gen Bomber, the SSBN replacement program, or the V-22 are not “waste.”)

Better business practices such as fixed-price contracts, multi-year orders, base closure, and TRICARE reforms (all of which have to be authorized by Congress, BTW) can save money, but not enough to allow for deep defense budget cuts. The reality is that high-quality people, weapons, base infrastructure, and training are not and will never be cheap. In other words, defense on the cheap is not possible.

In short, defense on the cheap is not possible. Deep defense cuts are exactly that – deep cuts in America’s defense capabilities. With a significantly reduced defense budget, it will not be possible to pay for the missions that need to be carried out and for the weapons, units, and training the military will need to carry out those missions and counter our enemies’ current and projected capabilities.

Posted in Constitutions, Economic affairs, Ideologies, Military issues, World affairs | Leave a Comment »

Rebuttal of Doug Bandow’s blatant lies about defense spending

Posted by zbigniewmazurak on October 25, 2012


In early February, the leftist (and misnamed) “American Conservative” magazine published on its website an utterly ridiculous screed (titled “The Attack of the Pork Hawks”)  by well-known leftist libertarian Doug Bandow, who has long advocated deep defense cuts and has been consistently lying about America’s defense spending. Although his screed was published 8 months ago in a niche mag that few people (and no conservatives) read, it made the same utterly false claims that leftist libertarians and liberals alike frequently make about conservatives and defense issues, so I’ve decided to write this rebuttal to refute all such claims once and for all.

Firstly, Bandow claims, in the opening of his screed, that conservatives who advocate robust defense spending, or increases of it, become big-government, big-spending liberals, just like the liberals who zealously defend education spending or the Medicare program.

Thus, Bandow revealed his utter ignorance of the Constitution, as well as his leftist, liberal, un-conservative mindset: he sees no difference whatsoever between providing for the common defense and spending money on unconstiutional welfare and education programs that handle issues reserved to the states and the people.

Under the Constitution, providing generously for the common defense is not only legitimate, it is actually the highest Constitutional DUTY of the federal government, as required by Art. IV, Sec. 4 of the Constitution, and as further proven by the Preamble, which says that one of the reasons why the federal government was created in the first place is to “provide for the common defence”. Furthermore, the majority of the enumerated powers granted to the Congress by Art. I, Sec. 8 of the Constitution relates to military matters, making clear that defense is to be the federal government’s first Constitutional duty.

And defending America itself (to say nothing of its allies) cannot be done cheaply, contrary to Bandow’s lies (see below) and requires substantial, continous funding, so it’s Constitutionally legitimate.

By contrast, all federal welfare, education, agriculture, and health programs are unconstitutional, as they are beyod the scope of the feds’ enumerated powers.

Secondly, Bandow falsely claims that the US military budget is “bloated” and significantly too high for defending America. At the same time, he wants the US to terminate its defense commitments to all of its allies and dump them, and falsely claims that doing so would permit deep cuts in the US defense budget.

But again, that is not true. Defending America itself cannot be done on the cheap. A significantly reduced defense budget would be woefully inadequate to protect America, because defending the US itself (to say nothing of its allies) requires, inter alia:

  • Providing air superiority to control the airspace over America itself (and Canada), which requires a large number of advanced 5th generation aircraft to defeat incoming enemy aircraft (including bombers and their escort fighters);
  • Providing a large ground army to protect America’s land borders, or at least, the long border with Mexico, where a full-scale war with drug cartels is already ongoing (don’t take my word for it – visit Arizona);
  • Patrolling America’s long coasts: the two vast ocean costs and the Gulf Coast (where the Russians sometimes sent Akula class subs), and protecting the undersea resources and fishing areas in US territorial waters;
  • Providing a large, modern, survivable nuclear deterrent (which requires a large, survivable, modern nuclear triad and a large nuclear stockpile);
  • Providing a multi-layered missile defense system to protect the homeland;
  • Providing the human, space-, air-, sea-, and ground-based intelligence capabilities to collect all pertinent intel data about America’s enemies and making informed decisions about national security issues;
  • Providing the administrative support required;
  • Providing the healthcare, retirement, housing, and family support programs for the military’s members;
  • Providing a military judicial system; and
  • Other national security requirements.

All of that costs a lot of money. Yet, all of that is absolutely necessary to defend America itself, even if all allies are to be dumped. So no, even if they were all dumped and left to fend for themselves, the US would still need to spend roughly as much as defense as it does now. Any deep cuts would greatly undermine America’s defense capabilities.

And dumping America’s allies is a foolish idea, from America’s own security standpoint as well as a moral one. Not only would it be immoral, it would DECREASE America’s security, for two reasons:

  • Threats to crucial allies and trade partners such as Japan, South Korea, and Western European countries would, by the virtue of these countries’ economic importance for the US, have serious consequences for America itself. Aggression against these countries would send serious repercussions throughout the US economy.
  • Dumping these allies would force them to develop their own nuclear weapons, thus greatly worsening the already serious nuclear proliferation problem.

And Bandow’s ridiculous fantasy that the US can retrench safely behind oceans and not be threatened by those who would attack Japan or South Korea is downright ridiculous and laughable. The crocodile would not content itself with merely these countries; it would eventually, sooner rather than later, come to eat America itself. The US has already tried such a naive isolationist foreign policy multiple times, and each time, it failed abysmally. As George Santayana rightly says, those who fail to learn from history are doomed to repeat it.

Bandow swears that deep defense spending cuts would not have to mean cuts in the development of new weapons, “only” in force structure, which he wants to see cut deeply across all services. He claims the US has an oversized  and “titantic” military, and claims it is too big to defend America.

But the US military is neither oversized nor “titanic”, and it is not too big at all. If anything, the US Navy and the USAF are too small. The entire US military was deeply cut after the Cold War’s end, and it is now 50% smaller than it was in 1991. The USN and the USAF have been cut deven deeper: the Navy now has only 284 ships, versus over 500 in 1989 and 592 in the Reagan years; it’s the smallest Navy since 1916. The USAF now has only 156 bombers (versus several hundred in 1991), 420 ICBMs (versus over 600 in 1991), and far fewer fighters, airlifters, and helicopters than in 1991. Its aircraft fleet today is actually the smallest and the oldest in the Air Force’s entire history.

Yet, two independent, neutral panels – the QDER Independent Review Panel and a CNAS group – have produced reports showing that the Navy needs 346 ships, versus today’s 284, just to back up American diplomacy abroad and deter enemies (to say nothing of defending America’s allies). Even today, the Navy can supply only 59% of Combatant Commanders’ requests for ships in general, and only 61% of their requests for submarines. And even under current budgets, the Navy’s cruiser, destroyer, and submarine fleets will fall precipitously below today’s already-inadequate levels. Yet, Bandow wants the Navy (and the defense budget) to be cut even further – and deeply. And despite his utterly false claims, such small ship and aircraft fleets would be woefully inadequate to protect even America itself, to say nothing of its allies.

Moreover, in contrast to Bandow’s isolationist delusions, the threats to America’s borders – ncluding American commercial shipping – are not limited to America’s borders. Pirates and aggresive countries like China and Iran are just few such threats. Yet, the US is totally dependent on the sea for prosperity and jobs: a large share of America’s GDP is due to foreign trade: exports and imports. The US economy is totally dependent on foreign trade, and the vast majority of exports and imports come by sea. But protecting American merchant vessels around the world will require a large navy – far larger than what Bandow claims. Cutting the Navy’s size would only place American merchant sailors, jobs, and prosperity at risk.

Bandow falsely claims that even after deep cuts, the Navy and Air Force would still be large enough to protect sealanes and airspace (he’s wrong regardless of how deeply he wants them to be cut, because the services are too small even today, so cutting them even further would make them even more inadequate). Moreover, if Bandow got what he wanted, the Navy and Air Force would be cut so deeply they would have no “reserve capacity” to respond to unforeseen threats, despite his claims to the contrary.

Sequestration would have similar consequences, and Bandow has joined the chorus of the leftists denying its destructive impact on the military. He claims it would be a mere cut in the growth rate (while simoultaneously saying it would bring defense spending back to 2007 levels). He invokes libertarian liars Veronique de Rugy (who isn’t even American and has already been utterly disproven here numerous times) and CATO’s Ben Friedman, who falsely claimed in February that sequestration would only cut defense spending’s growth rate to 10% per year, as opposed to a supposed 18% growth rate without sequestration, and that by FY2021, defense spending would still be 18% higher than today even with sequestration, as opposed to 21% without it.

But those claims and numbers are utterly false.  Today’s base defense budget is $531 bn. As this CBO report proves (see Table 1-4 on page 11), under sequestration, defense spending would be cut to just $469 bn and stay below today’s level for the entire decade (if not longer). By FY2021, it would still be at just $489 bn – $42 bn below today’s level – and in FY2022, at just $493 bn, $38 bn less than today.

At the same time, OCO spending, also subject to sequestration, would eventually zero out after US troops leave Afghanistan, so the total military budget would also be much smaller than today.

Thus, Bandow’s and Andrew McCarthy’s claim that by FY2021 defense spending would be higher than today even with sequestration is a blatant lie, meaning that these guys are liars.

Bandow also repeated de Rugy’s blatant lie that sequestration would only revert defense spending back to FY2007 levels. That’s also false; it would actually set defense spending back by an entire decade, to FY2003 levels, when the world was not nearly as dangerous as today, and China and Russia were not nearly as strong and belligerent as they are today. $469 bn would be, in real terms, the smallest base defense budget since FY2003.

And this deep cut would have the consequences listed here.

Bandow’s claim that sequestration’s cuts would be split equally between defense and nondefense spending is also false, as proven here.

His claim that military spending has increased by 74.5% since 2001, and that in 2007 it was 39% above 2001 levels, is also a blatant lie, as is his claim that it was only $300 bn in 2001. In FY2001, it was actually $390 bn in today’s money ($291.1 bn in CY2000 dollars). Today, the base defense budget ($531 bn) is only 35%, and the total military budget ($645 bn) only 65% above, FY2001 levels. Only, given that it occurred over 11 years and began from the lowest ebb since before Pearl Harbor.

Bandow’s complaints about US defense spending being higher in raw dollars than it was during the Korean and Vietnam War and the Reagan yers are irrelevant. As a share of America’s GDP and the total federal budget – the measures that truly count – defense spending is much lower than it was then, and lower thn ever since FY1941, excepting the late 1990s.

Bandow, like other isolationists, wants the US to dump what it calls “rich allies”, while objecting to the “isolationist” label. But that’s what he and his “noninterventionist” buddies are: they want America to dump all of its allies, not defend them against any bullies, appease all of America’s adversaries, withdraw from all alliances and some other multilateral fora, and adopt a “see no evil, hear no evil” foreign policy. That’s what the US was doing until 12/7/1941. It IS isolationism.

And what “rich allies” is Bandow talking about? Perhaps Poland, a poor country that the US has already sold out once? Perhaps Georgia, a strategically important, but poor country attacked by Russia in 2008? Perhaps the Philippines and Vietnam, whom China is bullying? Perhaps Taiwan – a small island democracy that just wants to be free from China’s Communist regime?

Bandow complains about America’s actions against these countries, especially China, and asks what would Americans think if China had bases in Mexico and patrolled the waters around the US. He claims that China’s military buildup is America’s fault.

But he’s lying. The US doesn’t have bases in any country bordering China, except Afghanistan (to be closed in 2014). America has had bases in Japan and SK for decades, yet, these bases have never been used to launch aggression against anyone, including China. The US has never attacked China. All it is doing is defending its Pacific allies against possible Chinese and NK aggression.

OTOH, what should the Japanese, Taiwanese, Vietnamese, and Filipino people think now, when China is bullying their civilian ships, taking over islands by force, and threatening to use force against all of these countries? And when China has 1,600 ballistic missiles aimed at Taiwan alone?

What should India think, when China is building bases in Pakistan and Burma, on India’s doorstep?

The US is not the aggressor here. China is.

Bandow falsely claims that China is spending so much on its military because the US is doing the same. But China has been steadily increasing its military budget by double digits every year of the last 22 years – even during the 1990s, when the US was deeply reducing its own. China’s military buildup has nothing to do with US military spending, and everything to do with China’s aggressive designs. If the US cuts its defense budget, China will only take that as a sign of weakness.

And China isn’t the only potential aggressor. Russia has recently sent nuclear-armed bombers near and into US airspace (they said they were “practicing attacking the enemy”) and its submarines to prowl in the Gulf and the East Coast. What should Americans think when Russia behaves so aggressively on America’s doorstep (and maintains its ties to Cuba)?

In short, all of Doug Bandow’s claims are blatant lies. The defense budget is not “bloated” at all and is barely adequate; the Navy’s and USAF’s force structure is woefully inadequate and vastly smaller than in 1991; dumping America’s allies would be a foolish and immoral policy yet would not allow for deep defense budget cuts; America is not to blame for other countries’ aggressive behavior; and their behavior is a result of their (particularly China’s) aggressive designs, not America’s overseas bases or military spending.

Doug Bandow is a disgraced libertarian liar. Not a word he says is true.

http://www.theamericanconservative.com/articles/attack-of-the-pork-hawks/

Posted in Constitutions, Economic affairs, Ideologies, Media lies, Military issues, World affairs | Leave a Comment »

Rebuttal of Gene Healy’s blatant lies about Romney’s foreign policy

Posted by zbigniewmazurak on October 17, 2012


On October 8th, the day Mitt Romney delivered his VMI speech, the Washington Examiner published an utterly ridiculous screed by Gene Healy. It’s utter garbage, written of course by a leftist libertarian from the CATO Institute (which is co-financed by George Soros).

 

Firstly, the US does not have a “bloated” military budget. Not even close. The total US military budget amounts to a paltry 4.22% of America’s GDP and just 17% of the total federal budget, not 20% as Healy claims.
Any claim that America’s military budget is “bloated” is a blatant lie.
Secondly, America’s extended force posture, while arguably overstretched, is necessary to protect America itself, not merely its allies (although they are worth protecting). Hiding behind oceans will not protect the US, just as it failed to protect America everytime this cretinous policy was tried before.
Today’s threats, such as foreign countries acquiring long-range ballistic missiles and nuclear weapons (vide North Korea, Iran, and others), conventional peer competitors such as China and Russia (both of whom are led by anti-American governments), terrorism, piracy, and other threats – not to mention aggression and coercion against America’s crucial economic partners like Japan and South Korea – necessitate the forward deployment of US troops abroad. Like it or not, it’s a reality. And they require a large and very capable military – far larger and far more capable than the CATO Institute would be willing to accept.
Protecting America requires the same capabilities as protecting its allies, in nearly the same quantities, because the US is a huge country with a huge territory, population, and coastlines to defend, not to mention Russia’s and China’s huge nuclear arsenals whose owners have to be deterred. Protecting America cannot be done on the cheap, as explained here:
Defending America itself requires, among other things, providing:
  • A large, survivable nuclear triad;
  • Conventional long range strike retaliatory capabilities;
  • A robust, multilayered missile defense system;
  • A superlative fighter fleet consisting of the most modern fighters available;
  • A robust CSAR aircraft fleet;
  • A large, versatile Navy with a full set of diverse capabilities to protect America’s three coasts and American civilian shipping around the world (from pirates, for example);
  • A large ground Army to guard America’s southern border;
  • Cargo aircraft to haul cargo, mail, and personnel around;
  • A robust, diverse intelligence apparatus;
  • Space capabilities;
  • A very diverse set of ISR platforms and early warning radars and aircraft;
  • Medical programs needed by the troops;
  • The training that the troops need; and
  • Other capabilities.
And that’s assuming an isolationist foreign policy and not defending any allied country.
None of these capabilities is cheap, yet all of them are absolutely needed in large quantities to protect America itself.
So like I said, any claim that America’s military budget is “bloated” is a blatant lie.
Healy accuses Romney of not being morally serious, but it’s Healy who isn’t morally serious here. He falsely claims that the defense budget is exempt from budget cuts. This isn’t even close to being true. Defense has already contributed $920 bn in savings since 2009 (and will contribute more as US troops withdraw from Afghanistan), while no other government program or agency has contributed any significant savings and most haven’t seen any budget cuts at all.
In 2009 and 2010, the DOD had to kill over 50 crucial weapon programs. In 2010, the US ratified the New START treaty, which obligates only the US (not Russia) to cut its nuclear arsenal deeply. Then, in January 2011, Secretary Gates announced another $178 bn in budget cuts. Then, in April 2011, Obama demanded another $400 bn in defense budget cuts. He got more than what he demanded in the Budget Control Act, whose First Tier obligates the DOD to cut its base budget by $487 bn over the next decade, on top of all defense cuts already

implemented. And now, sequestration, i.e. a round of a further $600 bn in defense cuts, is scheduled to kick in on January 2nd, 2013. Only a shameless liar would claim that defense is being exempt from cuts.
Secretary Gates, whom Healy likes to quote selectively, has actually spoken out strongly against further defense cuts, including sequestration, most recently during a CSIS videoconference on the subject. See here:
Transcript here: http://csis.org/files/attachments/120917_Strengthening_America_Forum_II_transcript.pdf
Healy lectures Romney about the Constitution, but he clearly doesn’t know the Constitution himself. Under the Supreme Law of the Land, defense is to be the Federal Government’s #1 Constitutional DUTY. On the other hand, entitlements, welfare programs, agriculture programs, education spending, and so forth are utterly unconstitutional as they are outside the scope of the federal government’s legitimate prerogatives.
 
Healy lectures Romney about the President’s Constitutional responsibilities, but he apparently doesn’t know what the Constitution obliges him to do. One of the President’s duties is to “take care that laws be faithfully enacted.” Among the laws he is to enact are the defense treaties the US has validly signed and ratified with its allies. But of course, CATO, as a “noninterventionist” institute, wants these treaties to be scrapped.
 
Furthermore, there is nothing in the Constitution prohibiting the President and the Congress from intervening abroad, establishing military alliances, or defending allies when they deem that necessary.
 
But most importantly, Romney was talking about the President’s MORAL responsibility. And on that, he’s right. It is immoral to passively stand by as Islamists are taking over one country after another, assassinating American ambassadors, and conducting terrorist attacks; as Israel is being threatened with annihilation; as Iran is progressing fast towards nuclear weapons, which would trigger a regional arms race; as China is threatening its neighbors in the Pacific Rim and preparing for aggression against them. It is indeed the President’s moral responsibility to stand up to these aggressors and to defend America’s allies – because America’s security depends on this as much as allies’ security does.
 
Healy objects to the US using its power to shape history, but the reality of this world is that either you shape the events, or the events shape you. That’s the only choice you have.
 
Last but not least, Healy’s claim that “A Romney administration will pivot like a dervish, directing American force and authority everywhere at once.” is utterly false, just like the rest of his screed.

Romney is NOT advocating “directing American force and authority everywhere at once” – only where and when they are absolutely needed, against the gravest threats. Thus, Mitt Romney would reassure America’s Central European allies about America’s commitment to them, and possibly deal with Iran militarily (which is now the only viable option; containment would be an utter failure) and bolster American deployments in Asia. Those are his 3 priorities. He would also arm Syrian insurgents, but they would have to win their freedom themselves. That’s a far cry from “directing American force and authority everywhere at once.” Healy’s claim, like the rest of his screed, is not even close to being true.
Shame on the Washington Examiner for hiring him as a columnist, and shame on the Examiner for publishing this ridiculous, pathetic screed. It only serves to discredit this pathetic newspaper.

Posted in Constitutions, Media lies, Military issues, Politicians, World affairs | Leave a Comment »

Rebuttal of Chris Preble’s attack on Romney and Republicans

Posted by zbigniewmazurak on October 16, 2012


Last month, in the Foreign Policy magazine, utterly discredited leftist libertarian Chris Preble wrote a screed (titled “Bipartisan Bloat”) attacking Mitt Romney and Republicans in general (and as a party) for refusing to agree to deep defense cuts, while accusing them of supporting a “bloated” military budget.

InformationDissemination’s Bryan McGrath has already ably rebutted Preble’s blatant lies, so I’ll only add the following:

1) Preble is so ignorant about the Constitution, about the long-standing principles of limited-government conservatism, and about the principles of the GOP, that he sees no difference whatsoever between providing for the common defense on one hand (which is the highest Constitutional DUTY of the federal government) and unconstitutional domestic programs related to issues such as education, healthcare, and agriculture, which are reserved exclusively to the states and the people.

The truth is that there is nothing inconsistent about providing robust (and even increasing) defense spending while at the same time cutting domestic spending on unconstitutional programs and agencies. It’s fully coherent and fully consistent with the Constitution and the principles of limited government conservatism (which is a different thing from libertarianism).

2) Without a strong military to protect it, the US economy will be at high risk from physical attacks on America and its key allies. Moreover, if domestic spending is cut deeply enough, and taxes are cut concurrently, enough money will be freed up for the private sector.
Moreover, Preble is ignoring the deep defense cuts that Obama has already implemented or scheduled, starting with the 50 programmatic closures in 2009 and 2010, and culminating with the First Tier BCA-mandated defense cuts and sequestration.

3) “The party that opposes nearly all other forms of federal spending happily embraces the military variety.”

I wouldn’t say that it blindly and happily embraces the military variety, but as I said, military spending is different from unconstitutional domestic spending, as there is a huge difference between providing for the common defense on the one hand, and spending money on unconstitutional federal education/healthcare/agriculture programs on the other hand. Only a libertarian (or a liberal) is blind to that huge difference.

4) “Republican candidate Mitt Romney accuses Obama of fostering a “culture of dependency” in the United States, yet ignores that U.S. security guarantees have created an entire class of affluent countries around the world that now rely upon U.S. tax dollars to pay for their defense.”

This is also garbage. Only a minority of America’s treaty allies are “affluent countries” like Britain, France, and Germany – most of them, including Central European, Middle Eastern (except Israel), and East Asian (except Japan and SK) allies are poor countries who would not be able to provide for their defense on their own even if they spent 10% of their GDPs on defense. And allies such as Israel, Japan, and SK actually contribute far more to their own security than Preble claims. Japan and SK refund 50% of American base construction costs in their countries and a large part of the cost of stationing American troops there. Israel has one of the strongest militaries in the world and spends over 7% of its GDP on defense. SK spends only 2.5%, but is not far behind the US, which spends only 3.47% (or 4.22% if war and DOE costs are included). Moreover, Israel and South Korea, unlike the US, draft ALL of their males into their militaries. EVERY Israeli and EVERY South Korean male is a soldier and has a duty to protect his country – unlike young Americans, who are not required to lift a finger in their own country’s defense.

Mr Preble: when young Americans are drafted into the US military, then, and ONLY THEN, you may complain about South Korea not doing enough. Until then, shut your mouth.

” Some Republicans are open to tax increases to pay for an even-larger military, but Romney is not. It isn’t clear, however, how he would pay for his promised increases, which exceed the president’s plans by at least $1.7 trillion over the next decade.”

But this claim is utterly false. Mitt Romney’s promise to increase base defense spending to 4% of GDP would not increase defense spending by anything even close to 1.7 trillion dollars per decade, even assuming very optimistic GDP growth rates. Currently, America’s GDP is $15.29 trillion; 4% out of that is $611 bn, i.e. just $86 bn more than what Obama proposes for FY2013. Even if GDP growths quickly to $16 trillion by FY2017, 4% out of that will still be only $640 bn, not even close to being $170 bn above Obama’s plan for FY2017.

Yet, if Romney were to increase defense spending by $1.7 trillion per decade as Preble falsely claims, he would have to increase it by $170 bn EVERY YEAR compared to Obama’s plans; if, in any year, the increase was less than $170 bn above Obama’s plans, in other years it would have to be higher. Romney is not proposing to do anything of the sort.

“Republicans could reasonably claim that military spending should get a pass because the Constitution clearly stipulates a federal role in defending the country. But nowhere is it written that Americans must provide security for others; that is the job of their governments, not America’s.”

It is, actually – in the defense treaties which America has signed with these countries and which the Senate has validly ratified, thus making them the supreme law of the land second only to the Constitution. Providing for the security of crucial allies – and the US has many of them – is as much in America’s interest as in theirs.

As for defending America itself, saying that the Constitution “stipluates a federal role in defending the country” is a vast understatement. The Constitution actually makes it clear that defense is a duty, and the HIGHEST duty, of the federal government, and one of the reasons the Constitution itself was adopted in the first place. The majority of Congress’ powers enumerated in Art. I, Sec. 8 of the Constitution pertain to military issues.

And even if America were to defend only itself, and no one else, that would still not permit for any deep cuts in the defense budget, because America’s defense needs are huge, and the US would therefore need to spend as much on defense as it spends now even under an isolationist “Fortress America” policy. Defending America requires, inter alia, providing: a) a large, modern, survivable nuclear triad; b) a robust, multilayered missile defense network; c) a large, superlative fighter fleet to protect America’s airspace; d) a large fleet of cargo aircraft to haul goods around military bases; e) a fleet of CSAR aircraft; f) a large, diverse, globally deployable Navy to protect not only America’s three long coasts but also civilian American ships (which constitute sovereign US territory) around the world ; g) a robust, diverse intelligence apparatus; h) a large land army to protect America’s land borders; and other capabilities. And all of them cost a lot of money.

In short, there is no way to “defend America on the cheap.” It’s not possible and will never be.

And Preble, despite his pretentions, couldn’t care less about defending America. In 2010, he was a member of the Barney-Frank-convened “SDTF” panel which recommended DEEP defense cuts across the board – in the nuclear deterrent, missile defense, the Navy, the Air Force, and many other services and programs. In short, their proposals would totally gut the US military. Preble was an active contributor to these destructive proposals.

“Indeed, the Republicans’ reflexive commitment to more military spending is particularly curious given their appreciation for how incentives work in the domestic sphere. Republicans know quite well that people are not inclined to pay for things that others will provide for them. GOP leaders speak often of moral hazards — when individuals or businesses behave irresponsibly because others are there to bail them out. The same problem exists in international politics, but is strangely ignored in the GOP’s plan to continue policing the world.”

Also false! The GOP has no plans to “continue policing the world” – it plans to reassure America’s allies, deter America’s enemies, and handle Iran, while the GOP platform’s language on Russia and China is actually very conciliatory, even though these countries are America’s enemies. But if America rebuilds its military and keeps it strong, there will be no war, because then, no one will want to challenge the US.

Republicans’ “commitment” to military spending is not reflexive, and (except Romney and his advisors) they are not advocating more military spending – merely reversing the BCA’s deep defense cuts. And as I stated above, there is a HUGE difference between providing for America’s and its allies’ defense on the one hand, and spending money on unconstitutional education/healthcare/agriculture programs on the other hand.

Last but not least, Bryan McGrath is absolutely right that the US, by providing security for itself and its allies, has made the world much safer, allowing these countries, but above all, ITSELF (i.e. the US) to benefit from this peace and security. Under the isolationist policy that Preble supports, America’s allies would be conquered or otherwise subjugated by the strongest aggressor on their doorstep (Russia, China, North Korea, or Iran, depending on where you live), and eventually, the crocodile would come to eat the US as well, just like it came in 1941 to eat over 2,000 American servicemen (and had an appetite for more).

If the US retreats from the world and retrenches behind oceans as Preble wants it to, its allies will fall, one by one, to aggressors such as China and North Korea, Iran will carry out its threat to wipe Israel off the face of the Earth, the Western Pacific will become China’s internal lake, the SOH will be shut down, and the US itself will live in a much more dangerous world, with all the consequences of that. Such a policy is absolutely unacceptable for any patriotic American.

http://www.informationdissemination.net/2012/09/libertarians-and-national-defense-chris.html

Posted in Constitutions, Ideologies, Media lies, Military issues, World affairs | Leave a Comment »

Omni-directional appeasement

Posted by zbigniewmazurak on October 13, 2012


On the liberal (and misnamed) American Conservative magazine’s website, Daniel Larison (a longtime strident leftist libertarian whose foreign policy views are even leftier than Neville Chamberlain’s) lambastes Mitt Romney’s recent VMI speech as devoid of new content and being so belligerent that he accuses Romney of “omni-directional belligenrence.” He bases that accusation not only on  Romney’s seriousness about the option of bombing Iran and his willingness to arm Syrian rebels, but also on Romney’s views on Russia, China, and Hugo Chavez (whom Larison mentions in his screed by name, portraying him, along with Russia and China, as supposed victims of Romney’s “omni-directional belligerence”).

Larison’s screed, like the rest of what he writes, is utter garbage. But it’s predictable, coming from a leftist libertarian who has always advocated isolationism, appeasement of America’s enemies, and deep defense cuts. Other leftist libertarians writing in the American Pseudoconservative mag, such as Daniel McCarthy and Doug Bandow, have repetealy expressed similar views. But repeating blatant lies 100 times doesn’t make them true. Larison’s claims are still lies.

Romney does not advocate war with Iran; he merely says he would be willing to exercise that option if necessary. He does not advocate war with Syria, merely arming the Syrian rebels, which would allow them to topple the Assad regime by themselves and thus completely remove the need for any US or Western intervention. He does not advocate war with any foreign country.

Nor was his speech devoid of new content or his own original proposals, as his detractors claim. It laid out clearly what Mitt Romney would do: build an effetive missile defense system at home and abroad, regardless of Putin’s objections; increase pressure on Iran (while defending Israel and the Gulf states) and exercising the military option if necessary; arming the Syrian rebels to help them win their own freedom by themselves; reversing Barack Obama’s massive defense cuts; build up the Navy (his top defense advisor, former Reagan SECNAV John Lehman, has laid out specific plans to do so, revealed here); pursue many new free trade agreements; reform and condition foreign aid; call on other countries to match America’s generosity; and call on European NATO members to finally start investing at least 2% of their GDPs in defense, as agreed to by all NATO members in 2002.

You can read Romney’s whole speech here.

Larison’s pathetic screed tells us more about Larison himself than about Romney. As usual, Larison advocates an utterly ridiculous, isolationist, and pacifist foreign policy of appeasing America’s enemies – from Iran, to China, to Russia.

Iran is developing nuclear weapons, chanting “Death to America! Death to Israel!”, and threatening to wipe the Jewish state off the face of the Earth. Russia is sending bombers into and nearby US airspace to practice attacks on America, submarines near America’s coast, and threatening nuclear attacks on the US and its allies. China is conducting a  huge military buildup, stalking US carriers, threatening unarmed US ships, and threatening its neighbors Japan, the Philippines, and Vietnam with aggression (and also building bases in Pakistan and Burma in preparation for aggression against India), and its general officers are openly expressing their hostility towards the US and its allies. The Syrian regime is slaughtering its own people en masse.

Yet, according to Larison and his fellow leftists, Romney is the advocate of “omni-directional belligerence.” As if Russia’s and China’s actions and threats towards the US and its allies, Iran’s threats toward Israel, and Assad’s slaughter of his own people were not belligerent at all, but rather peaceful.

It only reveals Larison’s and his fellow leftists’ liberal anti-American “Blame America First” mindset. In their warped way of thinking, America is the problem, and is always the aggressor or threat to others, while belligerent foreign powers such as Russia, China, and Iran are merely peaceful countries threatened by the US and with legitimate grievances towards Washington. In their fantasy world, there is no threat to America, except that which the US brings upon itself, and the US is always to blame in any conflict.

Such mindset is not merely liberal and leftist. It is treasonous.

No, Romney is not an advocate of “omni-directional belligerence.” But Larison and his fellow leftists, including McCarthy and Bandow, are advocates in omni-directional appeasement.

Posted in Constitutions, Ideologies, Media lies, Military issues, Politicians | Leave a Comment »

Rebuttal of Rick Moran’s attack on Republicans

Posted by zbigniewmazurak on October 10, 2012


In an AT blogpost of September 22nd, AT Associate Editor Rick Moran wrote this utter garbage:

“Why should the Democrats believe the GOP will hold firm on taxes even if Obama loses? Do they expect the Dems to cave on taxes if Romney wins? They are dreaming if that is the case.

By acknowledging that they will be forced to accede to the Democrat’s demands on taxes – in any case – the Republicans have already lost the post-election battle. Rather than fighting for budget cuts and fiscal sanity, they are going to allow the Democrats to raise taxes and then let them take the extra cash to “invest” in their pet projects.

Deficit reduction? Maybe later the Dems will say. And the GOP will look like the chumps they are.”

What utter garbage!

Let me first say clearly that I oppose tax hikes and that I don’t believe it is wise for Republicans to say before the election (let alone before the bargaining has begun) what they will certainly give ground on. That’s not how they should negotiate. They should keep all of their cards closed until the negotiations begin AFTER the election.

But that being said, let’s be honest: until at least January 2013, the Democrats will control the Senate and the White House. And given current polling, as well as Mitt Romney’s and Todd Akin’s mistakes, it’s more likely than not that they’ll continue to control both the Senate and the Executive Branch after 2012. That being the case, any deficit reduction deal – or any deal to avoid the fiscal cliff, including the automatic tax hikes and the automatic defense cuts set to begin in January 2013 – will have to be acceptable as much for Democrats as for Republicans. It will have to be acceptable for both sides, not merely for Republicans. If anything, the Dems will have to get more out of it than Republicans if the former group wins the November elections.

And if you want to avoid the expiration of the Bush tax cuts, and thus to prevent massive tax hikes from becoming law, you will have to give some ground to the Democrats. Likewise, if you want to avoid the massive, destructive defense cuts set to begin in January 2013 (sequestration), you will have to give the Democrats something and compromise with them.

The US Constitution is designed in such way that if both parties control a branch of the federal government, or if control of the Congress is split between the two parties, then, as Glenn Kessler rightly noted last year – neither side can forever insist on nonnegotiable demands.

Which brings me to my last point: the need to avoid sequestration’s massive, destructive defense cuts at all costs. I have written on this need several times, so I’ll just repeat, in brief, the reasons for doing so, as I anticipate that if and when a deal to do so is reached, many libertarians and fiscal-only-conservatives will accuse the GOP of having a “sacred cow” and defending Big Government and “Pentagon spending” at all costs.

So here are, in brief, 6 good reasons to cancel sequestration, even if it means a compromise on taxes:

1) These defense cuts would be destructive and devastating to the military, as confirmed by the Secretary and Deputy Secretary of Defense, all of the Joint Chiefs, other generals and admirals, retired generals and admirals such as Adm. Edmund Giambastiani and LTG Steven Blum, many veterans’ associations, and independent experts from the Heritage Foundation and the AEI. Sequestration would make such deep cuts in defense spending (real cuts, not mere reductions of the growth rate) that there wouldn’t be nearly enough funding for the troops’ salaries and healthcare programs; for the maintenance of existing equipment and personnel; for the development and acquisition of new equipment; for training (tank miles, ship steaming days, flight hours, training ammunition, etc.), and operations – even flight patrols over the country. The entire ICBM fleet, the next generation bomber and fighter programs, and other crucial equipment programs would have to be killed, the Navy would have fewer than 230 ships, and the USMC would, according to its Assistant Commandant, be too weak to handle “even one major contingency.” For details, see here. So how deeply would base defense spending be cut? To $469 bn in FY2013, down from $535 bn today – and stay way below today’s levels for the foreseeable future, as even by FY2022 it would be barely at $493 bn. War spending would also be cut, as it is not exempt from sequestration.

2) Even under the First Tier of 2011′s debt ceiling deal, defense spending will be cut in real terms, albeit not as deeply as under sequestration. W/o sequestration, it still goes down to $521 bn in FY2013 and doesn’t return to today’s level until FY2019… assuming the Congress makes no further defense cuts. What do such cuts mean for the DOD? Among other things, this:

So cancelling sequestration does not mean letting defense off the hook, just cancelling the deepest and most destructive cuts.

3) Defense is not merely a legitimate government function, it is the HIGHEST Constitutional duty of the Federal Government. The government is Constitutionally OBLIGED to provide for a strong defense. See here, here, and here.

4) The DOD is the ONLY federal agency/program to have contributed anything meaningful to deficit reduction so far. Counting the 50 weapon program closures of 2009 and 2010, the Gates Efficiencies Initiative, and First Tier debt-ceiling-deal-mandated defense cuts (see above), it has already contributed $920 bn to deficit reduction over the next decade. Those who blather nonsense about defense being Republicans’ sacred cow should be forced to point to any other government agency/program that has contributed ANYTHING meaningful to deficit reduction to date. They can’t, because there isn’t any, and defense is not Republicans’ “sacred cow.”

5) Sequestration would disproportionately target defense while leaving entitlement programs almost unscathed. As data given in the Paul Ryan Budget Plan, in Table 1 of Appendix II (on page 96 of the full report), proves, defense would bear far more than half of the burden of the sequester’s budget cuts. The numbers, as the table states, would be as follows:

Category/FY13–-14–-15–-16–17—-18—19–-20—21—22–-TOTAL CUT OVER THE DECADE

Sequester—­‐98 -­‐93 -­‐92 -­‐91 -­‐91 -­‐90 -­‐89 -­‐88 -­‐88 -­‐90 -­‐913
Defense.——55 -­‐55 -­‐55 -­‐55 -­‐55 -­‐55 -­‐55 -­‐55 -­‐55 -­‐56 -­‐551
Non-­‐Def.—­‐43 -­‐38 -­‐38 -­‐37 -­‐36 -­‐36 -­‐35 -­‐33 -­‐33 -­‐34 -­‐362

As these numbers prove, defense would bear far more than half of the spending cuts burden. In the first year (FY2013), it would be 56%; in FY2014, 59%; in FY2015, 59.78%; in FY2016, 60.43%; in FY2017, 60.43%; in FY2018, 61.11%; in FY2019, 61.79%; in FY2020, 62.5%; in FY2021, 62.5%; in FY2022, 61.11%.

In total, defense would be whacked by $551 bn over a decade, while nondefense discretionary spending would be cut by only $362 bn. Thus, the total amount of cuts would be $913 bn, and defense would bear 60.35% of that spending cut burden, i.e. the vast majority.

6) Last but certainly not least, sequestration is not needed to reduce the deficit. In fact, it would fail to make a meaningful difference, cutting only $98 bn out of a $1.3 trillion annual budget deficit. So even WITH sequestration, there will be a $1.202 trillion deficit every year. Even eliminating military spending entirely would not even HALVE the deficit, let alone eliminate it completely – and such puny savings would be eaten up in a few years by rapidly growing entitleent spending, as this Heritage graph proves.

As Paul Ryan’s, the Republican Study Committee’s, Sen. Lee’s, and Sen. Toomey’s budget plans prove, one DOES NOT have to deeply cut defense spending to balance the federal budget. It would be far wiser to follow one of these plans, and thus erase the deficit while funding defense adequately, rather than cut defense deeply, gut the military, and still fail to balance the budget.

So there are VERY good reasons to spare defense from sequestration. It is not a “Big Government” policy; it’s a conservative policy and the right thing to do.

Posted in Constitutions, Elections, Media lies, Military issues, World affairs | Leave a Comment »

Rebuttal of lies about Romney’s defense spending plans

Posted by zbigniewmazurak on September 27, 2012


The Democrats and their propagandists, such as Soros-funded “Center for American Progress” hacks, and their media allies like CNN, falsely allege that Mitt Romney plans to increase base defense spending by $2 trillion over the next decade (FY2013-FY2022) compared to Obama’s plans. They allege that this would be the result of increasing the base defense budget to a full 4% of GDP (which Romney pledges to do).

Amazingly, the non-liberal media, such as the Washington Times, have repeated that lie robotically without any critical look.

But it’s a blatant lie, and I’ll show you why.

First, some simple math. Adding $2 trillion to defense over the next decade means adding $200 bn every year on average. If, in one year, the increase is smaller than the $200 bn average, increases in later years would have to be higher.

Spending $8.3 trillion on defense over the next decade would mean spending $830 bn every year, on average, on defense.

Mitt Romney does not propose anything even close to that. His proposals are far more modest, and very modest by historical standards.

Let’s start with the size of today’s (FY2012) base defense budget. It amounts to $531 bn, i.e. 3.47% of America’s GDP (which is $15.29 trillion) and less than 15% of the total federal budget. Obama’s proposed FY2013 base defense budget amounts to $525 bn, i.e. 3.43% of GDP.

(The Overseas Contingency Operations budget, i.e. the war costs, are planned to be $88.5 bn in FY2013, FY2014, and FY2015 before the US withdraws from Afghanistan, but they’re separate from the base defense budget; in any case, Mitt Romney’s pledge, and his detractors’ false claims, pertain to the base defense budget, so we’ll look only at that one for the purposes of this analysis.)

A 3.47% of GDP base defense budget means that, excluding the late 1990s, America is now devoting less (as a percentage of GDP) of its own wealth to its national defense than at any time since FY1941.

Mitt Romney’s plans

As stated above, Gov. Romney proposes to raise the base defense budget to 4% of GDP.* As stated above, America’s GDP is currently $15.29 trillion, so 4% of it would amount to $611.6 bn, or just $86.6 above what Obama plans for FY2013.

How the base defense budget would grow thereafter would be determined by how fast the US economy would grow, since Gov. Romney pledges to peg the defense budget to the economy’s size. If the economy doesn’t grow, neither will the defense budget; if it grows slowly, so will the defense budget.

Even if it grows at a fast pace like 4% per year, the defense budget would, as a simple mathematical consequence, also grow only by 4% per year under Romney’s plan.

Let’s assume, for example, that next year, the economy grows by 4%, from $15.29 trillion to $15.9016 trillion. Assuming even such luck with economic growth (i.e. a rapid recovery), the base defense budget, as a 4% fraction of GDP, would still amount only to $636.064 bn in FY2014. But that’s totally dependent on the economy growing rapidly. Even then, under such optimistic economic growth assumptions, the FY2014 base defense budget would still be only  $103 bn per year higher than Obama’s plan for FY2014 (which is 533.6 bn, see Figure 1-3 on page 1-3 of this DOD document).

And remember, they claimed Romney wants to increase base defense spending by $200 bn on average! Which only shows how badly wrong they are.

But let’s assume optimistically that within the next five years, by 2017, the economy grows to $17 trillion (a highly unlikely scenario). Even if that happens, that would still leave defense spending, as a 4% of GDP item, at $680 bn in FY2017 or FY2018. By comparison, Obama plans to spend $567.3 bn in FY2017 on defense. (See this DOD document, page 1-3, Figure 1-3.) The difference is $113 bn, far short of the $200 bn difference the Obama camp and its liberal allies claim.

All of these figures – even those based on very optimistic assumptions about future US economic growth – are also far short of the $830 bn annual average that Romney would have to spend if he were to spend $8.3 trillion on defense on the next decade as his detractors falsely accuse him of wanting.

This means that either they can’t do simple math or they are deliberately lying to distort Mitt Romney’s plans (or both). In any case, such blatant lying out to be a disqualifier for anyone who engages in it.

Constitutional and budgetary process issues

Moreover, by engaging in such attacks on Gov. Romney, they have also shown their utter ignorance of the Constitution and the federal budgetary process of today.

The Constitution grants “the power of the purse” exclusively to the Congress, not the President. It is the Congress, not the President, that sets spending levels (including defense budgets). It is the Congress who decides how much money will be spent, and on what exactly.

To see 4% of GDP (let alone 830 bn per year) devoted to defense, the Romney Administration would have to ask the Congress to appropriate that money and convince it that it’s necessary (good luck convincing the Congress to do that in a time of budgetary constraints). Top Romney Administration defense officials would have to testify in front of no less than six separate Congressional committees and convince all of them that America needs to devote this or that amount to defense.

Unfortunately, Congress is unlikely to spend a full 4% of GDP, let alone 830 bn per year, on defense. It may very well avert sequestration (which Republicans and Democrats agree is a disastrous and dumb idea), and a Republican-controlled Congress might pass a defense budget slightly larger than the one proposed Obama. But that’s the best-case scenario the DOD can hope for. Congress is highly unlikely to appropriate anything more than that.

Such attacks on Romney’s proposals also reveal these authors’ ignorance of the federal budgetary process. As Bruce Bartlett has demonstrated in the Forbes magazine, today, a president’s budget request is almost irrelevant. Congress passes budgets it, not the President, deems wise. It’s a far cry from the pre-1974 era, when the President’s budget proposal was the starting point for any discussion, because, among other reasons, it was the only document where complete numbers for the entire federal government could be found. Nowadays, the president’s budget proposal is just one among many.

The proposal that stands the highest chance of passing both houses of Congress is Sen. Toomey’s budget plan, which, for the entire next decade, would set base defense budget levels at the caps instituted by the First Tier of the Budget Control Act, while OCO spending would have to be phased out by no later than FY2018.

Mitt Romney’s detractors also try to portray him as a hypocrite because he has picked Paul Ryan as his running mate, and Ryan voted for the Budget Control Act and proposes to increase defense spending over Obama’s plans only by a modest amount.

But Romney also proposes only a modest defense budget increase, and unlike Ryan, Gov. Romney opposed the Budget Control Act from the very beginning, in large part BECAUSE of its defense cuts provisions. Moreover, Romney has said that Republicans made a big blunder by agreeing to this bill and to its defense cuts provisions.

Regarding Ryan’s proposal to cut foreign aid, it’s the right proposal. Foreign countries – or at minimum, those which aren’t friendly to America – should no longer milk American taxpayers’ subsidies.

So Mitt Romney’s detractors’ claims are completely false:

  • Mitt Romney does not plan to increase defense spending by 2 trillion dollars over the next decade. Not even close.
  • Mitt Romney does not plan to spend 8.3 trillion on defense over the next decade. Not even close. It wouldn’t be close even if the US economy suddenly began to grow rapidly.
  • Mitt Romney is not hypocritical despite picking Paul Ryan – both gentlemen would like to increase defense funding only to a modest degree, and Romney has said that Congressional Republicans (including Ryan) made a huge error by agreeing to the BCA and its defense cuts provisions.

Posted in Constitutions, Military issues, World affairs | Tagged: , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Rebuttal of Bill Clinton’s ridiculous attack on Romney and Ryan

Posted by zbigniewmazurak on September 19, 2012


America’s character-lacking, disgraced, lying, adulterous 42nd President, who gutted the US military during the 1990s, seems to think he’s fit to lecture Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan on defense and budgetary issues. But he is not, and this post is a rebuttal of his lies.

During the DNC, Clinton falsely claimed:

“You see, they want to go back to the same old policies that got us into trouble in the first place,” Clinton said. “Cut taxes for high-income Americans even more than President [George W.] Bush did. To get rid of those pesky financial regulations designed to prevent another crash and prohibit future bailouts. To increase defense spending 2 trillion dollars more than the Pentagon has requested without saying what they’ll spend the money on; to make enormous cuts in the rest of the budget.”

All of these claims are lies. Mitt Romney doesn’t want to cut taxes just for high-income Americans, but for everyone, as his website clearly states. He even opposes a flat tax because it would be “a tax cut for fat cats.”

As for defense spending, no, he and Ryan do not plan to increase it by $2 trillion over the next ten years above what the Obama-controlled DOD has requested. For that to happen, the Congress would have to increase the annual defense budget by $100 bn on average every year, which Ryan and Romney do NOT propose to do. In FY2013, the increase would be only $20 bn above the DOD’s request. To add another $1.980 trillion in the next decade, Ryan would have to give the DOD another $220 bn every year on top of what they request, which he does not propose to do. Not even close.

And no, Ryan does not propose to make “enormous cuts” in every other agency and program. In most of them, he doesn’t propose to cut spending at all, merely to slow down or halt its growth.

So Bill Clinton’s claims are blatant lies, just like his lie that he “did not have sexual relations with that woman, Miss Lewinsky.”

DefenseNews claims that

“The GOP White House hopefuls offered few specifics last week about just how those new defense dollars would be spent. Romney, however, has made clear on the campaign trail he would buy more Navy ships.”

But under the Constitution, it is not the proper role of the President, the Vice President, or candidates for either to offer specifics about what defense dollars are to be spent on. That is the exclusive role of the Congress. Only the Congress has the right and the duty to decide how much to allocate to defense and what exactly to spend the money on. It is the Congress’s duty to determine how many ships, aircraft, ground vehicles, missiles, etc. are necessary. (In determining it, it may and does call upon uniformed and civilian DOD leaders and others to provide their advice, but it needs to make decisions on its own.) The President is to have no role in the budget process except to sign or veto bills. Apparently, no one on DN’s staff has read the Constitution.

After Paul Ryan’s budget plan was passed by the House, the House Armed Services Committee passed a defense budget (matching Ryan’s numbers) which showed EXACTLY what the additional money would be spent on, inter alia:

  • Saving the 7 young cruisers and 2 amphibious ships Obama wants to retire from retirement and scrapping.
  • Building up America’s missile defense.
  • Building the facilities necessary to modernize America’s nuclear arsenal and infrastructure.
  • Additional aircraft and missiles.
  • Preserving the RQ-4 Global Hawk drones Obama wants to retire.
  • Preserving the M1 tank production line and upgrading further M1 tanks to the M1A2SEP standard.

More here.

Moreover, Mitt Romney himself has also outlined plans for more than additional Navy ships: missile defense, 100,000 additional troops, aircraft recapitalization, etc. But he would spend only 4% of GDP on defense, slightly less than the DOD’s entire military budget at 4.22% of GDP, and slightly more than the base defense budget (3.47% of GDP). A full 4% of America’s current GDP ($15.29 trillion) is $611.6 bn.

And if Mitt Romney is elected and appoints his defense advisor John Lehman to be SECDEF/DEPSECDEF, the USN will not be building those sorry-ass LCSes which have no combat capability.

DefenseNews says:

“The official Republican Party policy platform, formally adopted last week at its convention, features several defense-themed sections. But those sections mostly criticize the Obama administration for retiring aircraft and ships and shrinking the Army and Marine Corps, and charges the White House is blocking efforts to modernize the U.S. nuclear arms fleet.”

But if the GOP platform sharply criticizes the Obama Administration for these cuts and this neglect, isn’t it reasonable to assume that it will reverse them?

DefenseNews also reports that:

“In contrast, the Democrats’ platform signals that party would welcome more Pentagon spending cuts, singling out the expensive nuclear arms arsenal as a candidate for reductions.”

But the nuclear arsenal is NOT expensive at all.

Those are blatant lies. Firstly, the nuclear arsenal is NOT expensive to operate and maintain. According to Barack Obama’s own defense budget request, the entire annual cost of maintaining the current arsenal is roughly $7 bn, a tiny part of the annual defense budget, let alone the entire annual federal budget. No big savings can be found there.

The fleet of delivery systems is not expensive to operate and maintain, either. It is, in fact, cheap to do so, and the fleet comprises just a tiny part of the DOD’s operations&maintenance budget.

Replacing them will not be very expensive, either. One ICBM costs just $70 mn to procure. The DOD’s planned next-gen SSBNs will cost $5 bn apiece, but that cost could be dramatically reduced by building a Virginia-class variant or resuming the production of the Ohio class instead of building a whole new class of submarines. A single Virginia class sub costs only $2 bn apiece, so for a 12-sub buy, the cost would be just $24 bn.

As for bombers, the USAF itself estimates that its no-frills next-gen bomber will cost only $550 mn per unit. Moreover, this is a dual-capable bomber that the USAF needs to have anyway, for conventional missions if not for nuclear ones. So even if there were no nuclear bombs for it to carry, it would still be needed for conventional missions. Therefore, it’s something the USAF must buy anyway.

The nuclear arsenal is already too small, as Russia has reached strategic nuclear parity with and retains a huge tactical nuclear advantage over the US. China has an arsenal of up to 3,000 nuclear warheads (not the 300-400 that the leftist media often claims). North Korea is growing its nuclear arsenal, and Iran, completely uninhibited by Obama and unafraid of him, is quickly developing its own.

Moreover, unlike Russia and China, which are threats to many and protectors to nobody except NK, the US is responsible for providing a nuclear deterrent not just for itself but for 30 allies. Any further cuts will cause these allies to doubt America’s nuclear deterrent and, at some point, develop their own nuclear weapons, thus making the proliferation problem much worse.

DefenseNews says that

“The Obama administration has justified its military budget cuts, end-strength shrinkage plans and program cancellations by arguing that the emerging threat picture is best tackled by a leaner, more agile force.”

But that is false. The Obama Administration’s defense cuts will not make the military leaner or more agile; in fact, it will make it far less so, given the projected cuts in strategic and tactical airlift aircraft and in amphibious and other sealift ships. Their cuts will also make the US military weaker in other ways – by reducing its combat power through cuts in e.g. cruisers, fighters, attack aircraft, nuclear weapons, missile defense, fighter recapitalization, and other crucial assets. See here for details. Or, see this graph by Congressman Randy Forbes:

 

The fact is that the Obama Administration has weakened America’s defense across the board, and the GOP is right to point that out.

http://www.defensenews.com/article/20120906/DEFREG02/309060002/Bill-Clinton-Jabs-Romney-Ryan-DoD-Spending-Proposals?odyssey=mod_sectionstories

Posted in Constitutions, Economic affairs, Media lies, Military issues, Politicians, World affairs | Leave a Comment »

 
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